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Pennsylvania survey finds Harris leading Trump narrowly, identifies her ‘biggest weakness,’ pollster says

Pennsylvania survey finds Harris leading Trump narrowly, identifies her ‘biggest weakness,’ pollster says

Pennsylvania remains one of the tightest contests in the nation as November’s presidential election approaches.  Vice President Kamala Harris remains ahead of former President Donald Trump by a razor-thin margin, according to new data from AARP.  Harris maintains 49% of likely voters, while Trump maintains approximately 47%, according to the survey. Three percent reported being undecided.   FOX NEWS POLL: HARRIS, TRUMP LOCKED IN TIGHT RACE IN BATTLEGROUND PENNSYLVANIA The AARP poll was conducted by landline, cell phone and text-to-web by a bipartisan team from Sept. 17 to Sept. 24.  Harris’ weakest point is with senior citizens, AARP’s response data shows. Seniors aged 65 years and older broke for Trump by seven points, according to the data.  ROLLING STONES TOUR SPONSORED BY AARP AS 80-YEAR-OLD ROCKER MICK JAGGER SET TO HIT THE ROAD It is a major shift after Trump was trailing previous Democratic candidate President Biden by one point before he dropped out and Harris became the party’s nominee. The AARP survey found that 50% of likely voters approve of Trump’s performance as president from 2016 to 2020. About 49% disapprove of his job performance in the Oval Office. Approximately 45% approve of Harris’ performance as vice president, while 52% disapprove. The AARP survey spoke with 1,398 likely voters in Pennsylvania and has an overall margin of error of four percentage points.  An over-sample of 470 likely voters within the state who are 50 years old and up was included in the data with a margin of error of three and half percentage points.

NRA targets Sen Sherrod Brown in 7-figure ad buy in Ohio: ‘Vote like your life depends on it’

NRA targets Sen Sherrod Brown in 7-figure ad buy in Ohio: ‘Vote like your life depends on it’

FIRST ON FOX: The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) political action committee is stepping into Ohio’s U.S. Senate race with a seven-figure ad campaign targeting Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown, who has an F rating from the NRA on Second Amendment advocacy. The 30-second TV ad, airing on cable networks from Oct. 1 until the election, urges voters to “Vote like your life depends on it” and positions Brown’s conservative opponent, Bernie Moreno, as a strong advocate for the Second Amendment. The ad, which is part of a larger media blitz that includes digital ads, texting, direct mail and door-to-door canvassing, also slams “soft-on-crime politicians” like Brown for allegedly not defending gun owners’ rights, “even putting anti-gun judges on the bench.” NRA BETS BIG ON MONTANA IN GUN RIGHTS PUSH AS TESTER TEETERS IN SENATE RACE “Sen. Brown has failed us,” the ad’s narrator says. “This November, gun owners must act to preserve their rights,” said NRA-PVF Chair Randy Kozuch in a statement. “Soft-on-crime politicians like Sherrod Brown have made everyday life more dangerous for American communities but failed to protect gun owners and their right to defend themselves.” Moreno and Brown are in a neck and neck battle for a crucial Senate seat as most polls indicate that their race falls within the margin of error. Brown has also earned himself a progressive reputation among some critics. MCCORMICK SAYS ‘PEOPLE ARE RECOGNIZING’ IMPORTANCE OF 2024 ELECTION AS PENNSYLVANIA SENATE POLLS TIGHTEN He has been criticized for supporting the Biden administration’s policies nearly 100% of the time, according to the Voteview database maintained by UCLA political scientists, but has bucked the administration on certain issues related to climate change. But his critics say he is more in line with the progressive “Green New Deal” than he is the oil and gas industry in Ohio. Ohio is the second state the NRA-PVF has targeted this election cycle. Last month, the gun group went live on Montana’s airwaves with a massive push against vulnerable Democrat Sen. Jon Tester. Fox News Digital’s Brian Flood and Julia Johnson contributed to this report.

Montana GOP Senate candidate Sheehy says he was in Afghanistan while Jon Tester was ‘eating lobbyist steak’

Montana GOP Senate candidate Sheehy says he was in Afghanistan while Jon Tester was ‘eating lobbyist steak’

Montana U.S. Senate candidate Tim Sheehy, a Republican, ripped his opponent, incumbent Democrat Sen. Jon Tester, for his ties to lobbyists during a debate on Monday. Tester is seeking to hold onto his Senate seat to continue representing the red state of Montana in a race that could determine which party controls the upper chamber of Congress, and recent polling shows that Sheehy is leading just weeks before Election Day. During the debate on Monday, Sheehy knocked his Democrat opponent for his relationship with lobbyists in Washington, D.C. “Sen. Tester knows all about backroom meetings, he’s been taking them for 20 years … While I was fighting in Afghanistan, he was eating lobbyist steak in D.C.,” said Sheehy, a former U.S. Navy SEAL. ‘WHOEVER GETS ELECTED’: VULNERABLE DEM TESTER DIGS IN HEELS ON NOT ENDORSING HARRIS Lobbyists have donated more heavily to Tester during this election cycle than to any other member of Congress, according to the non-partisan group OpenSecrets. Tester is the last remaining Democrat to hold high office in Montana, where Republicans, including former President Trump, supported Sheehy’s campaign with the hope that he could defeat the vulnerable Democrat and help the GOP win back control of the Senate. Republicans need to gain only two seats in next month’s election to win the Senate majority. GOP West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice is considered a lock in his state’s Senate race against Democrat Glenn Elliott, meaning the Senate majority could run through Montana. Trump won Montana by about 17 percentage points in 2020 and, given that the state is overwhelmingly Republican, Sheehy has often sought to tie Tester to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris as the Republican candidate looks to take advantage of public dissatisfaction over the administration’s struggles to address the influx of illegal immigration at the Southern Border. JON TESTER CASTS DOUBT ON UNFAVORABLE POLL IN MONTANA SENATE RACE: ‘GIVE ME A BREAK’ “Democrats on the Hill refused to hold the administration accountable for the largest mass migration in the history of this country,” Sheehy said. Tester, however, has declined to endorse Harris and has attempted to distance himself from her on the campaign trail, and he skipped the Democratic National Convention in August, when she was named the party’s nominee for president after Biden dropped out. The Democrat has also criticized some of the administration’s policy decisions. This includes his opposition to the move for tighter pollution rules for coal plants and his calls for more to be done on immigration. “Look, I’ll be the first person to tell you that President Biden has not done a good job on the southern border,” Tester said Monday. Sheehy and Tester also addressed abortion, in which the Democrat said he wants to reinstate Roe v. Wade after the landmark ruling was overturned by the U.S. Supreme Court two years ago, returning the power to make laws regarding abortion back to the states. The Republican acknowledged that remarks he made last year about Native Americans were “insensitive,” but refused his opponent’s request to apologize. Sheehy had told a group of laughing supporters about bonding “with all the Indians … while they’re drunk at 8 a.m.,” while working cattle at a ranch on the Crow Indian Reservation. “Yeah, insensitive,” Sheehy said. “I come from the military as many of our tribal members do. You know, we make insensitive jokes and probably off-color jokes sometimes.” Tester pressed his opponent, “Tim, the statement you made degrades Native Americans across this country. You’re a big guy, just apologize.” “Will you apologize for opening the border?” Sheehy shot back. The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Pennsylvania absentee voting underway in some counties

Pennsylvania absentee voting underway in some counties

Pennsylvania’s 19 Electoral College votes are up for grabs in the 2024 presidential election with absentee voting in the Keystone State underway for some voters there. Pennsylvania was one of three Rust Belt states that flipped from the Democrats to former President Trump and Republicans in 2016, then back to President Biden four years later. In each case, the margin was thin with less than 100,000 votes separating the main candidates. The state has also been critical to each president’s pathway to victory. It has the largest population and the most Electoral College votes of the seven most competitive states in the Fox News Power Rankings. A recent Fox News survey has the race tied, with Democrat nominee Vice President Harris and Trump each receiving support from 49% of likely voters. The bulk of the Democrat vote comes from the “bookends” of the state, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, where Harris will likely perform well among Black and suburban voters. Trump makes up for that with White rural and non-college-educated voters who live in the middle of the state. The former president has brought these voters out to the ballot box twice, and a Pennsylvania-heavy rally schedule shows he is looking to do that again. Pennsylvania is ranked “Toss-Up” in the Fox News Power Rankings. The Keystone State also has a U.S. Senate race on the ballot. Democrat Sen. Bob Casey has won three elections before, but securing a fourth will be more difficult with White working-class voters drifting away from his party. Republicans are hoping businessman Dave McCormick will connect with them. That race is ranked “Leans Dem.” Pennsylvania is also home to a handful of competitive U.S. House races led by: This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania has what it describes as “On-Demand Mail Ballot Voting,” which allows registered voters to apply for mail ballots while at their county election office or other designated locations and then complete and submit the ballots while there. Mail ballots can be submitted in-person until 8 p.m. on Election Day, while the deadline to apply for one is 5 p.m. ET on Oct. 29. Pennsylvania certified its official candidate list on Sept. 16, and counties are still “finalizing their ballots, proofreading them, and ordering printed ballots,” the state said. Mail ballots are currently available in 15 of the state’s 67 counties. Counties were required to begin sending absentee ballots to military and overseas voters by Sept. 21. Pennsylvania residents can register to vote online or by mail through Oct. 21.