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Allan Lichtman predicts Harris as 2024 winner because ‘Democrats got smart’ and did this

Allan Lichtman predicts Harris as 2024 winner because ‘Democrats got smart’ and did this

The American University historian who has correctly predicted the outcomes of nine of the last ten presidential elections tells Fox News Digital that the Democrats “finally got smart” by rallying around Kamala Harris as their candidate – and that is one of the reasons why he thinks she will be November’s winner.  The formula Allan Lichtman has used to correctly predict nearly every presidential race since 1984, his “Keys to the White House,” was developed in 1981 with mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok and is based on their analysis of presidential elections dating back to 1860. The “keys” consist of 13 true or false questions, parameters that, if true, favor stability.  “The way it works is real simple. If six or more keys — any six — go against the White House party, they are predicted losers. Otherwise, they’re predicted winners,” Lichtman told Fox News Digital this week. “And by the way, this also led to a prediction of Donald Trump’s win, which made me virtually alone in making that prediction in 2016.”  Lichtman says the Democrats represented by Harris could lose five keys “at most” and that is why he is predicting that “we are going to have a precedent-breaking election and Kamala Harris will become the first woman President of the United States.”  WHO HAS THE ‘KEYS TO THE WHITE HOUSE’? HISTORIAN WITH ACE RECORD CALLING ELECTIONS WEIGHS IN ON TRUMP VERDICT “We’ve had an unprecedented situation of a sitting president dropping out on the eve of the convention, and it has affected my keys,” Lichtman continued. “Now, with Biden dropping out, the Democrats lost one key — the incumbency key. I thought perhaps the way things were looking, if Biden dropped out, the [Democrats] would have a big party brawl and that would cost them a second key, which could lose them the election. But the Democrats finally got smart and united behind Harris and that preserved the contest key. That means the shift only cost them one key.”  TRUMP SLAMS ABC AHEAD OF PIVOTAL NETWORK-HOSTED DEBATE  Lichtman describes the contest key as having “no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.” The other keys are as follows: party mandate, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military success, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.  “I think having Harris front and center rather than Joe Biden, the policymaker, has dampened enthusiasm for protests which helped salvage a second key, the social unrest key,” Lichtman also said. “The keys show that Kamala Harris is a predicted winner.”  Fox News’ Chris Pandolfo contributed to this report. 

Walz administration settles left-wing group’s trans inmate lawsuit, costing Minnesota taxpayers nearly $500K

Walz administration settles left-wing group’s trans inmate lawsuit, costing Minnesota taxpayers nearly 0K

Nearly $500,000 in taxpayer money was paid by Gov. Tim Walz’s administration in what effectively was a “sue and settlement” scheme by a left-wing interest group representing a transgender prison inmate, a new watchdog report concludes.  According to public records reviewed by the taxpayer watchdog group OpenTheBooks.com and first shared with the New York Post, Walz’s office allocated nearly $200,000 to Gender Justice, a progressive legal nonprofit focused on “gender equity,” one year after the organization filed a sex discrimination complaint against the Minnesota Department of Corrections (DOC).  The complaint alleged the DOC discriminated against a biological male inmate known as Christina Lusk for not placing her in a women’s prison and rejecting requests for sex-change surgeries. TRANS INMATE WHO KILLED BABY AND IDENTIFIES AS MUSLIM WOMAN SUES CHAPLAIN FOR ALLEGEDLY NOT ALLOWING HIJAB Prior to an arrest in December 2018 after being charged with possession of meth and sentenced to a five-year term, Lusk underwent hormone therapy and sought “bottom surgery” to remove her male genitalia. As of Jan. 31, Lusk was released from state custody and placed under supervision. The settlement reached in this case involved a total of $495,000 distributed among three parties. Lusk received $245,903.72, Gender Justice was allocated $198,000 and Robins Kaplan LLP received $51,096.28 for legal fees. In 2023, records provided by OpenTheBooks indicate that Gender Justice received $448,904, which includes payments from the DOC and the $5,000 from the Minnesota Department of Education, though further details about the latter amount were not explored. The settlement also led to an update in policy that avoided the legislative process, with Minnesota’s DOC agreeing to adopt World Professional Association for Transgender Health (WPATH) Standards of Care for treating inmates with gender dysphoria on the taxpayer dime. BIDEN SLAMMED ON SOCIAL MEDIA AFTER ANNOUNCING TRANSGENDER DAY OF VISIBILITY ON EASTER SUNDAY Robins Kaplan LLP, the law firm involved, contributed over $22,000 to Walz’s gubernatorial campaign, including donations from Chair Emeritus Elliott S. Kaplan. Gender Justice’s board includes a member from the Minnesota Department of Health, part of the Walz administration. “This story made waves when the deal was first announced, but by following the money, taxpayers are able to get a much better look at the settlement and the consequences,” OpenTheBooks spokesperson Christopher Neefus told Fox News DIgital. “Taxpayers are used to footing the bill, of course, but this deal also meant Minnesota would change its policies when it comes to transgender inmates. “That sidestepped the public input that comes with a legislative debate.” ACLU SUES INDIANA OVER DENIAL OF SEX REASSIGNMENT SURGERY FOR INMATE WHO STRANGLED 11-MONTH-OLD TO DEATH The issue of taxpayer-funded transgender procedures and accommodation behind prison walls has become more prominent in liberal-run states and cities. Earlier this year, Colorado became the first state in the country with segregated holding cells for transgender women in prison.  After a class-action lawsuit was filed by several transgender inmates in 2019 against the Colorado Department of Corrections (CDOC) alleging discrimination, harassment and assault, a judge signed off on a consent decree that would bring further changes, including surgical sex changes and hormone treatment, to the state’s penitentiary. Several of the plaintiffs who sought judicial approval of the consent decree are serving life without parole for homicide and assault, according to court documents obtained by Fox News Digital.  In June, health officials in the Biden administration urged WPATH to omit the age limit in its guidelines for transgender surgical procedures for adolescents – and succeeded – according to unsealed court documents.