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Michigan governor warned Biden campaign her state is no longer winnable: report

Michigan governor warned Biden campaign her state is no longer winnable: report

Democratic Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer told President Biden’s campaign that her state was no longer winnable after Biden’s disastrous debate performance last week, Politico reported Monday. The news arose from a call between Whitmer and Biden campaign Chair Jennifer O’Malley Dillon. Sources familiar with the call told the outlet that Whitmer expressed frustration that her name was being raised as a replacement for Biden in the wake of the debate. She disavowed any effort to force Biden to drop out of the race, something a growing number of Democrats are pushing for. Another source told Politico that she gave Dillon a general warning that Michigan was no longer winnable for Biden following his debate performance. Whitmer’s reaction mirrors that of other prominent Democrats, who have rallied to Biden in public while reportedly panicking and raising doubts about his candidacy in private. BIDEN’S INNER CIRCLE SILENT AS PARTY REELS FOLLOWING ‘EMBARRASSING’ DEBATE PERFORMANCE Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and former House Majority Whip James Clyburn, D-S.C., reaffirmed their support for Biden during television appearances Sunday. BIDEN DEBATE DEBACLE: 10 EYE-OPENING MEDIA RESPONSES, FROM MSNBC PANIC TO ‘THE VIEW’ CALLING FOR REPLACEMENT Pelosi claimed Biden only struggled in Thursday’s debate due to former President Trump’s on-stage “lies,” while Clyburn argued his poor performance was merely due to “preparation overload.” “The fact is, the reaction to the lies of Donald Trump is something that… people are focusing on, and to have a debate where you have to spend half your time negating what he said because he knows nothing about the truth,” Pelosi said on CNN’s “State of the Union.” “On one side of the screen you have integrity and on one side you have dishonesty.” BATTLEGROUND DEMOCRATS LEAVE BIDEN HIGH AND DRY AFTER ‘DISASTROUS’ DEBATE PERFORMANCE Clyburn, who was the House assistant Democratic leader until last year, also brushed off Biden’s embarrassing debate in his interview with Bash, saying he has full confidence that Biden can both beat Trump in November and serve as the leader of the free world for four more years. “I’ve been around these things. I’ve been a part of debate preparation before, and I know when I see what I call preparation overload,” Clyburn said. “That’s exactly what was going on the other night. I saw Joe Biden grappling for words and phrases and even numbers that he was loaded up with. But today he arrived in North Carolina, he was freewheeling, and he captivated the audience.”

Fox News Power Rankings: Looking for clues in the polls as we brace for post-debate impact

Fox News Power Rankings: Looking for clues in the polls as we brace for post-debate impact

Debates are a unique forum in modern politics.  They test a candidate’s knowledge and character. They are seen by tens of millions of viewers. And they cannot be stage-managed by a campaign. They are the only events on the election calendar that test a candidate’s knowledge and character, in real time, in front of millions of viewers, that cannot be stage-managed by a campaign. Voters saw all those dynamics at play last Thursday night. EX-REP. CHARLIE RANGEL, 94, QUESTIONS WHETHER BIDEN BELONGS IN NURSING HOME, NOT WHITE HOUSE President Biden was, at times, incoherent. He spoke in a fatigued, raspy voice, which sources attributed to a cold nearly an hour into the debate. And he regularly looked stiff or bewildered during his opponent’s answers. Political analysts and some of the president’s allies said Biden had the “worst debate performance in modern political history.” Others have called for him to step aside (there is no reporting that he will, and that is the only way for him not to become the Democratic nominee). Flash polls from CNN and Ipsos on Friday called Trump the clear victor of the showdown. CNN FLASH POLL SHOWS TRUMP AS CLEAR WINNER OF FIRST PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE: ‘STUNNING NUMBER’ But it will take longer to assess whether Americans have changed their mind about their vote. Voters need to hear about and digest the debate, then decide whether it affects their choice. It then takes days for a survey to reach a representative sample of the population. You also want to see multiple reliable polls to adjust for outliers. A good rule of thumb is to wait two weeks. That is what the Power Rankings forecast will do. Expect an update to the presidential rankings and the first congressional rankings later this month. In the meantime, pre-debate surveys offer clues on how the debate might change the race. The American electorate is partisan and polarized. In the last presidential election, 95% of voters said they leaned or considered themselves a Democrat (47%) or Republican (48%). Separately, 37% described their vote as more against their candidate’s opponent than for their own. It was also a very close election. Biden won the three most competitive states by an average of just 14,306 votes. BIDEN WELCOMES BERNIE SANDERS RALLIES BOOSTING WORKERS IN SWING STATE AS TRUMP COURTS WORKING CLASS This makes even small shifts in polling significant. The last time these two candidates met was in October 2020, when they argued about the country’s path out of the coronavirus pandemic and landed blows over their records and character. Then-President Trump gained about a point in polling averages. Weeks earlier, at the first debate, a combative Trump consistently interrupted his opponent and the moderator, relied on insults and downplayed the pandemic days before going to hospital with the virus that caused it. Trump lost two points in polling averages, and that may have been the drop that cost him the election. Biden’s performance at last week’s debate was dismal enough that it could cause as much of a drop, and maybe a bigger one. A RASPY BIDEN DELIVERS A HALTING DEBATE PERFORMANCE IN SHOWDOWN WITH TRUMP It does not change the values or policies of his administration, which is what partisans are voting on. There are still 127 days until the election, each one offering opportunities to reset, or seize on an opponent’s weaknesses, in an already unprecedented cycle. But given Biden’s existing weakness in battleground state polls, even a one-to-two-point drop would be unhelpful. When people talk about polls, they usually take the difference between the percentage of voters supporting each candidate to show which candidate is leading the race. For example, in the latest Fox poll, 50% of registered voters prefer Biden and 48% prefer Trump, so people say Biden is “leading” Trump by two points. Looking at the percentage of voters supporting each candidate individually, however, can give us more insight into the race. BIDEN VOWS TO KEEP WHITE HOUSE, UNDETERRED BY DEMOCRATIC PANIC AFTER DEBATE DISASTER In Fox News polls since September, Biden gets an average of 47% and his results range from 45-50%. Trump gets an average of 49% and a range of 48-50%. Trump’s level of support is strong and consistent, even as he navigated a contentious Republican primary and, in May, became the first former American president to be convicted of a felony. Biden’s support is weaker, and it fluctuates. He captures the Democratic base and most voters who lean towards the party; 89% of those voters have a “strongly unfavorable” view of Trump. There is weakness in his share of Black, Hispanic and young voters compared to the 2020 election, and his numbers bounce around with independents. These results suggest that Biden’s poor debate performance could hurt his top line level of support. Perhaps he drops precipitously with independents, or the share of Democrats saying they support “someone else” this year increases. CAN BIDEN BE REPLACED AS THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE? Trump’s consistency suggests that there is a ceiling on his level of support.  The ceiling is high enough that, absent any change in his opponent’s national and battleground state polling, he can win this race. But it is possible that Biden’s debate disaster does little to push voters to Trump. In Fox News’ June survey, 72% of voters said age and mental soundness were “extremely” or “very” important to their vote. The results were similar across most voter groups that could decide the outcome of this election: Voters who say age and mental soundness extremely or very important to vote: Fox News Poll, June 14-17, 2024; MOE: White ±3.5, Black ±9, Hispanic ±8, Age Under 30 ±8, Age 65+ ±5.5, Independent ±7.5, Liberal ±5, Moderate ±6.5, College Deg ±4.5, No College Deg ±3.5, Suburban ±4.5 Black voters are among the least likely to say age is important, with 62% of that group agreeing versus 72% of voters overall. That is a 10-point gap. That is within the 9-point margin of sampling error in the poll for this subgroup.

Steve Bannon reaches deadline to report to prison for contempt of Congress

Steve Bannon reaches deadline to report to prison for contempt of Congress

Steve Bannon, a longtime ally of former President Trump, is scheduled to report to a federal prison in Connecticut on Monday to serve a four-month sentence for contempt for defying a subpoena in the congressional investigation into the U.S. Capitol riot on Jan. 6, 2021.  U.S. District Judge Carl Nichols in Washington had allowed Bannon to stay free for nearly two years while he appealed, but he later revoked his bail and ordered him to report to prison by July 1 after an appeals court panel upheld his contempt of Congress convictions. The Supreme Court rejected his last-minute appeal to stave off his sentence. In an emergency motion filed in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia last month, Bannon’s new lawyer, R. Trent McCotter, accused the government of seeking “to imprison Mr. Bannon for the four-month period leading up to the November election, when millions of Americans look to him for information on important campaign issues,” effectively barring him “from serving as a meaningful advisor in the ongoing national campaign.” “There is also no denying the political realities here. Mr. Bannon is a high-profile political commentator and campaign strategist. He was prosecuted by an administration whose policies are a frequent target of Mr. Bannon’s public statements,” the motion said.  TRUMP ALLY STEVE BANNON FILES EMERGENCY MOTION SEEKING TO STAY OUT OF PRISON A jury found Bannon guilty of two counts of contempt of Congress: one for refusing to sit for a deposition with the Jan. 6 House Committee, and a second for refusing to provide documents related to his involvement in Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 election results.  JUDGE ORDERS STEVE BANNON TO REPORT TO PRISON Defense attorneys have argued the case raises issues that should be examined by the Supreme Court, including Bannon’s previous lawyer’s belief that the subpoena was invalid because Trump had asserted executive privilege. Prosecutors, though, say Bannon had left the White House years before, and Trump had never invoked executive privilege in front of the committee. Bannon’s surrender deadline is the same day the Supreme Court will release its ruling in a case involving whether Trump is immune from prosecution for his attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 election. On Friday, the Supreme Court also ruled in favor of a participant in the Jan. 6 riot who challenged his conviction for a federal “obstruction” crime. Bannon’s appeal will continue to play out, and Republican House leaders have put their support behind stepping in to assert the Jan. 6 committee was improperly created, effectively trying to deem the subpoena Bannon received to be illegitimate. Another Trump aide, trade adviser Peter Navarro, has also been convicted of contempt of Congress. He reported to prison in March to serve his four-month sentence after the Supreme Court refused his bid to delay the sentence. Bannon is also facing criminal charges in New York state court alleging he duped donors who gave money to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. Bannon has pleaded not guilty to money laundering, conspiracy, fraud and other charges. That trial has been postponed until at least the end of September. The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Migrant charged in woman’s murder rocks NY House race, as GOP incumbent accuses Dem rival of dismissing crisis

Migrant charged in woman’s murder rocks NY House race, as GOP incumbent accuses Dem rival of dismissing crisis

Rep. Brandon Williams, R-N.Y., who is facing one of the most competitive House re-election bids in the country, has demanded an apology from Democratic challenger John Mannion for previously dismissing the “ignorance” of Republicans concerned about the migrant crisis after an illegal immigrant was charged with murdering a 21-year-old woman in his central New York district.  On Tuesday, Mannion, a state senator, won the Democratic primary to take on Williams in November.  That same day, Jhon Moises Chacaguasay-Ilbis, a 21-year-old illegal immigrant from Ecuador, allegedly murdered Joselyn Jhoana Toaquiza at an Airbnb property in Syracuse, New York. The gruesome crime, reportedly carried out on the victim’s 21st birthday, happened within the confines of Mannion’s state senate district, as well as the U.S. House district Williams was first elected to represent in 2022.  Williams, a first-term congressman, U.S. Navy veteran and tech entrepreneur who bills himself as a political outsider, reminded voters of comments Mannion made last September blasting the “ignorance” of those in Republican jurisdictions concerned about the busing of migrants into their communities from New York City.  “I demand an apology from John Mannion on behalf of the Central New York citizens that he called ignorant for being concerned that the migrant crisis would ever find its way into our communities,” Williams told Fox News Digital. “I think calling local voters ignorant is the height of arrogance. And it comes from a place of being really out of touch with, you know, with the average voter and with the community itself.”  ILLEGAL MIGRANT CHARGED WITH SUFFOCATING, KILLING YOUNG WOMAN ON HER BIRTHDAY: REPORT “This is a common sense issue. Voters in Central New York are concerned about crime in general because of cashless bail and raise the age policies that have come out of Albany. But in this case, the southern border plays a huge role in that these illegal migrants are being moved all over the country with taxpayer money and are now in our community,” Williams said. “And sadly, a young woman would be alive today were it not for these policies…. The far left wants us to believe that they don’t matter or that they won’t reach our communities – in fact, calling Central New York voters ignorant for even having these concerns. And we have every reason to have these concerns. The evidence is all around us. This is just common sense. We have to reject the far left, extreme border policies that are making our communities less safe.”  Mannion, who publicly called the busing of migrants from the Big Apple a “policy failure,” later privately criticized those in Republican jurisdictions “fearful that buses of migrants are going to come into where they live and change their community,” according to a leaked Zoom call he held with Democratic candidates that was previously reported by Fox News Digital.  “It is just unbelievable to me, but I’m not surprised at the ignorance,” Mannion said in 2023. On the video call, he also expressed concern that the migrant crisis “will be weaponized” by Republican candidates.  Fox News Digital reached out to Mannion’s state senate office and campaign for comment on the Syracuse murder case and Williams’ criticism, but did not immediately hear back.  The Syracuse murder is not the first violent crime case involving asylum seekers seen across New York state.  NY DEM PRIVATELY BLASTS ‘IGNORANCE’ OF REPUBLICANS CONCERNED ABOUT MIGRANT BUSES IN LEAKED VIDEO Sakir Akkan, a 21-year-old migrant from Turkey, was charged Tuesday with first-degree rape in connection to an attack on a 15-year-old girl in Albany. That same week, Christian Geovanny Inga-Landi, a 25-year-old migrant from Ecuador, allegedly forced a pair of 13-year-olds into the woods near a park in Queens at knife point, tied their wrists together with shoelaces and raped one of them.  And, as Williams contended, concern over violent crime connected to the influx of migrants stretches across party lines.  Last August, Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz, a Democrat who previously welcomed the busing of migrants from New York City as part of a controversial resettlement program, announced that the Buffalo-area jurisdiction would stop accepting migrants from the Big Apple following a second sexual assault connected to a migrant hotel operation, sparking safety concerns in the nearby residential neighborhood.  This November, Williams said, “voters have a choice between a secure southern border or funding free health care for illegal migrants as my opponent has supported.”  “It’s a very clear choice. In central New York, voters want common sense. They want us to look out for our community, for our citizens, and to keep us safe and, frankly, to make life more affordable. And, the policies that the Republican Party have pursued,” Williams told Fox News Digital. “New York State is reeling from a Democrat supermajority in Albany, and the far-left policies that Kathy Hochul has championed and pushed through with a compliant state Senate and Assembly has wreaked havoc on New York State and even upstate, where they’ve exported the New York City values, the elitist far left values into our community.”  STEFANIK TOUTS GOP MOMENTUM IN BLUE STRONGHOLD, IMPLICATIONS FOR TRUMP IN 2024: ‘DEMOCRATS HAVE A NY PROBLEM’ Chacaguasay-Ilbis and Toaquiza had gone to primary school together in Ecuador, and the woman had also entered the U.S. illegally, reportedly fleeing an unidentified former lover in her home country, The Post-Standard reported. Chilling surveillance video showed the two entering an Airbnb property together. Three hours later, Chacaguasay-Ilbis could be seen carrying the woman’s limp body into his truck.  He allegedly had suffocated her to death and then buried her body in a shallow grave. Prosecutors said he then caught a Lyft to a nearby Greyhound station and boarded a bus bound for New York City.  Chacaguasay-Ilbis turned himself into police in Spring Valley, located in Rockland County, about 35 miles northwest of New York City. Online records show he was booked into the Onondaga County Justice Center on Wednesday on a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detainer and murder and concealment